Saturday, August 19, 2017

Can Index Funds Hamper Price Discovery?

There are some concerned that too much money going into ETFs and not enough active investment will cause issues with price discovery.

https://www.wsj.com/articles/worlds-biggest-pension-fund-wants-to-stop-index-trackers-eating-the-economy-1502974668 

Sounds familiar: https://www.wsj.com/articles/welcome-to-the-meat-casino-the-cattle-futures-market-descends-into-chaos-1471475438 

There has

Gates Notes: Sustainable Beef for Developing Smallholder Agriculture


Gates Notes: 

"While there are legitimate questions about whether the world can meet its appetite for animal products without destroying the environment, it’s a fact that many poor people rely on cattle for both nutrition and income. I believe they should be able to raise cattle as efficiently as farmers in rich countries do….For them, meat and dairy are a great source of high-quality proteins that help children fully develop mentally and physically. Just 20 grams of animal protein a day can combat malnutrition, which is why our foundation’s nutrition strategy wants to get more meat, dairy, and eggs into the diets of children in Africa. Cattle are also a huge economic driver in some parts of Africa. In Ethiopia alone, cattle account for 45 percent of their agricultural GDP. In addition, livestock can actually contribute to ecosystems by stimulating pasture growth, enhancing biodiversity, and recycling energy and nutrients….As more people in poor countries move into the middle class, they will likely eat more beef and drink more milk. But we can mitigate the impact of that growth on the environment by increasing production from the cows they already have."

Noahpinion: Summing up my thoughts on macroeconomics


Comment from a6z: Macroeconomics

"It's more than commerce. It's the big themes. The rise and fall of civilizations. Freedom versus authority, the one and the many, the center and the periphery. Politics, broadly understood; therefore ethics, at least normatively described. Epistemology, too."




Wednesday, August 9, 2017

Agricultural Intensification and the Environment

This story puts blame on the meat industry for largest ever "dead zone" in the Gulf of Mexico.

The authors of the original study are advocating reduction or elimination of meat consumption.

Others tend to think focusing more on 'low-input' agriculture is the solution. However this study finds organic farming systems have a 37% higher eutrophication potential.  (HT: Breakthrough Blog)

Note also, in the study I cite here low input agriculture is inherently coupled with large scale grain and livestock production.

This paper (using simulation) finds a land sparing and GHG mitigating effect from intensification of livestock production in Brazil.

This paper finds "investment in yield improvements compares favorably with other commonly proposed mitigation strategies. Further yield improvements should therefore be prominent among efforts to reduce future GHG emissions."


References:

Comparative analysis of environmental impacts of agricultural production systems, agricultural input efficiency, and food choice
Michael Clark1,4 and David Tilman2,3
Published 16 June 2017 • © 2017 IOP Publishing Ltd
Environmental Research Letters, Volume 12, Number 6

To what extent does organic farming rely on nutrient inflows from conventional farming?
Benjamin Nowak1,2, Thomas Nesme1,2, Christophe David3 and Sylvain Pellerin1,2
Published 5 December 2013  2013 IOP Publishing Ltd
Environmental Research Letters, Volume 8, Number 4

Greenhouse gas mitigation by agricultural intensification Jennifer A. Burneya,Steven J. Davisc, and David B. Lobella.PNAS  June 29, 2010   vol. 107  no. 26  12052-12057

Britain to Ban New Gas and Diesel Autos by 2040

Well in GB they plan to ban the sale of new gasoline and diesel cars by 2040. I'd really like to see the cost benefit analysis on that especially as it relates to GHG emissions.

According to this story, about 2.7 million cars were registered in GB in 2016.

Recall, by some estimates GHG reductions associated with planted areas of biotech crops in the U.S. were equivalent to removal of almost 11 million cars!

Could they not just import more corn from the U.S. and call it even?

Saturday, August 5, 2017

Saturday Evening Post

Kevin Folta has a great way with words discussing the fake news in NYT regarding glyphosate in Ben and Jerry's ice cream:

"There was a time that newspapers published verifiable information, checked facts, and didn’t simply post the intellectually bankrupt messages of activist groups. The New York Times now double dips to a new low, confirming their war on food, war on farmers, war on science, and war on reason. In the days of fake news this takes the cake — al a mode."

Read more....


The Farmer Hayek blog never lets you forget how important theory is....and how useful. A nice point from a recent post:

"It may be tautologous to say that “people prefer their own self interest” where “their own self interest” is whatever they subjectively desire, but it is certainly useful. Focusing on the subjectivity of costs and benefits dramatically increases economists’ ability to understand human behavior. Defining self interest narrowly, such that only objective costs and benefits are considered relevant is actually a step backward, even if it is more consistent with, say, the methods of physicists."